Insights

Research, market notes and updates from the desk.

Trading · Behavioral Finance · Market Psychology

The Floors of the Tower of Babel

In 1997, a Financial Times contest in reading other people's minds was won by the number 13, although the logically correct answer was zero.

September 17, 2026

ai · trading · blockchain

Being Right Is Not Accepted as Collateral

How a single July took apart the fund of the man who wrote the defining text of the AI era Essay · July 30, 2026 On Wednesday evening a few people on Wall Street sat down and started calling the ma…

July 30, 2026

artificial-intelligence · cryptocurrency · investing

Tokenized Stocks: The Quiet Revolution of 2026

The money left crypto. Then crypto went after the money. Picture a nightclub at dawn. The music has died, the bartender is wiping down the bar, cold daylight is crawling across the emptying floor, …

July 14, 2026

trade · investing · palladium

Copper vs Palladium: The Trade of the Decade

Why copper is the next multi-bagger and palladium is a fading era. And how to profit from it. Key Takeaways: - Global copper demand will grow from 28 to 42 million tonnes by 2040 (+50%), with a def…

April 10, 2026

cryptocurrency · sharpe-ratio · financial-markets

A Theoretical Investigation into Sharpe and Sortino Ratio Limitations

This investigation reveals fundamental mathematical and theoretical flaws in the application of Sharpe and Sortino ratios to cryptocurrency trading strategies, particularly when targeting high valu…

January 22, 2026

blockchain · finance · ethereum

Markets Without Buffers: Why 2025 Became a Turning Point

Macroeconomic Landscape and Its Impact on Markets The official rhetoric of central banks and financial media paints a picture of a “soft landing”: inflation is declining, unemployment remains stabl…

December 31, 2025

altcoins · crypto · cryptocurrency-investment

Beyond FOMO: Strategic Analysis of Bitcoin Dominance and Market Prospects

Let’s begin by examining #BTCD on the monthly timeframe. Here we see the old EXP model, which formed in December 2020. This model reflected the decrease in bitcoin dominance during 2020–2021. For o…

May 3, 2025

bitcoin · blockchain · cryptocurrency

How Trump’s Policies Will Affect the Crypto Market

The current situation in the crypto market raises serious concerns. Technical analysis shows increased vulnerability — if Bitcoin stays below $78,000 on the weekly timeframe, it could open the way …

March 14, 2025

altcoins · trading · bitcoin

Alt-season is near?

#BTC continues to decline, but despite the significant drop, there is no panic in the market. Most altcoins are already near local lows, which may play in favor of the upcoming altcoin season. Howe…

February 26, 2025

btc · blockchain · bitcoin

Bitcoin — Medium-Term Outlook

Bitcoin — Medium-Term Outlook The current #BTC chart is forming an EXP model (turquoise), indicating a potential correction before the next phase of active growth. Main Scenario The most likely dev…

February 22, 2025

crypto · blockchain · ethereum

We are halfway down a dangerous path: is a new crisis looming?

Traditionally, it is common to consider yield curve inversion (in the classical sense, the negative difference between 30-year and 2-year US bonds) as an indicator of a recession warning, but let’s…

September 30, 2024